Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.003315 0.003476 0.003642 0.003823 0.004017 0.004218 0.004443
2025-06-08 0.003011 0.003250 0.003503 0.003792 0.004116 0.004467 0.004878
2025-06-15 0.002795 0.003073 0.003375 0.003731 0.004141 0.004599 0.005155
2025-06-22 0.002632 0.002936 0.003274 0.003681 0.004159 0.004709 0.005395
2025-06-29 0.002527 0.002856 0.003227 0.003683 0.004230 0.004874 0.005698
2025-07-06 0.002376 0.002711 0.003096 0.003575 0.004160 0.004861 0.005778
2025-07-13 0.002302 0.002653 0.003062 0.003577 0.004220 0.005004 0.006051
2025-07-20 0.002261 0.002631 0.003068 0.003628 0.004337 0.005219 0.006424
2025-07-27 0.002184 0.002561 0.003011 0.003595 0.004346 0.005296 0.006618
2025-08-03 0.002117 0.002501 0.002964 0.003573 0.004365 0.005383 0.006825
2025-08-10 0.002054 0.002443 0.002917 0.003546 0.004376 0.005458 0.007018
2025-08-17 0.002033 0.002436 0.002933 0.003600 0.004494 0.005678 0.007420
2025-08-24 0.001982 0.002391 0.002899 0.003589 0.004524 0.005782 0.007665
2025-08-31 0.001927 0.002338 0.002853 0.003560 0.004530 0.005852 0.007864
2025-09-07 0.001864 0.002273 0.002789 0.003504 0.004495 0.005861 0.007972
2025-09-14 0.001808 0.002216 0.002734 0.003458 0.004470 0.005883 0.008098
2025-09-21 0.001775 0.002187 0.002716 0.003460 0.004513 0.006002 0.008377
2025-09-28 0.001704 0.002107 0.002625 0.003360 0.004408 0.005902 0.008309
2025-10-05 0.001675 0.002082 0.002609 0.003363 0.004448 0.006016 0.008583
2025-10-12 0.001665 0.002081 0.002624 0.003409 0.004553 0.006229 0.009025
2025-10-19 0.001627 0.002041 0.002587 0.003380 0.004545 0.006272 0.009190
2025-10-26 0.001594 0.002008 0.002556 0.003359 0.004548 0.006330 0.009385
2025-11-02 0.001561 0.001974 0.002524 0.003334 0.004546 0.006380 0.009565